{"id":22080,"date":"2024-05-07T10:36:00","date_gmt":"2024-05-07T07:36:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.media4change.co\/?p=22080"},"modified":"2024-08-25T10:40:40","modified_gmt":"2024-08-25T07:40:40","slug":"sociologo-hipoteze-euroskeptisku-politiniu-jegu-galimybes-politiniame-lauke","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.media4change.co\/lt\/sociologo-hipoteze-euroskeptisku-politiniu-jegu-galimybes-politiniame-lauke\/","title":{"rendered":"Sociologo hipotez\u0117: euroskepti\u0161k\u0173 politini\u0173 j\u0117g\u0173 galimyb\u0117s politiniame lauke"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

V. Gaidys pasakoja, kad kart\u0105 ra\u0161ydamas mokslo straipsn\u012f est\u0173 \u017eurnalui pamin\u0117jo, jog prie\u0161taraujan\u010di\u0173 ES politikai nuotaik\u0173 galima b\u016bt\u0173 sulaukti nebent tokiu atveju, jeigu b\u016bt\u0173 \u012fgyvendinta ES id\u0117ja pagal kvotas paskirstyti \u012f Piet\u0173 Europos \u0161alis i\u0161 Afrikos ar Vidurio Ryt\u0173 atvykstan\u010di\u0173 migrant\u0173 srautus \u012f visas ES \u0161alis. Ta\u010diau sulauk\u0119s recenzent\u0173 kaltinim\u0173 homofobija, pastraipos \u0161ia tema atsisak\u0117.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Viena vertus, lietuviai vie\u0161osios nuomon\u0117s apklausose pasirodo kaip vieni did\u017eiausi\u0173 eurooptimist\u0173 ES. Kita vertus, visoje ES \u0161iuo metu analitikai \u012fsp\u0117ja, kad artimiausiuose rinkimuose \u012f EP didesn\u0117s nei \u012fprasta s\u0117km\u0117s gali sulaukti euroskeptik\u0173 partijos. Kaip tai atrodo Jums \u2013 sociologui?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160iaip t\u0173 euroskeptik\u0173 Lietuvoje n\u0117ra labai daug. Buvo toks laikotarpis apie 1999-uosius, kada naryst\u0117s ES \u0161alinink\u0173 buvo daugiau nei skeptik\u0173. V\u0117liau skeptik\u0173 suma\u017e\u0117jo, ypa\u010d per referendum\u0105 d\u0117l naryst\u0117s bloke. Prisimenu net tok\u012f aspekt\u0105: tada visuomeninis transliuotojas tur\u0117jo skelbti subalansuot\u0105 po\u017ei\u016bri\u0173 spektr\u0105 ir jiems buvo labai sunku surasti skepti\u0161kai \u012f naryst\u0119 ES \u017ei\u016brin\u010di\u0173 \u017emoni\u0173. Pavyko surasti tik vien\u0105 student\u0105, kuris dabar tapo ministru.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ir dabar euroskepti\u0161k\u0173 nuotaik\u0173 visuomen\u0117je nepadaug\u0117jo, \u0161velniai tariant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Vladas Gaidys. R. Staselio nuotrauka
<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Kas \u0161iandien gali b\u016bti laikomas euroskeptiku?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mano akimis \u017ei\u016brint, nors niekas rimt\u0173 tyrim\u0173 \u0161iuo metu nedaro (u\u017etenka visiems dukart per metus atliekamo \u201eEurobarometro\u201c), tok\u012f potencial\u0105 turi nacionalistin\u0117s politikos j\u0117gos. Gal juos galima b\u016bt\u0173 pavadinti konservatoriais nacionalistais. Jiems gali nepatikti ES politika d\u0117l \u012fvairi\u0173 ma\u017eum\u0173, atvirk\u0161\u010diai \u2013 jie laikyt\u0173si po\u017ei\u016brio, kad \u201eLietuva turi priklausyti lietuviams\u201c. Ta\u010diau net \u012f m\u016bs\u0173 parlament\u0105 reik\u0161mingas j\u0173 skai\u010dius niekaip nepatenka. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Turiu vien\u0105 hipotez\u0119, kod\u0117l taip yra. Many\u010diau, kad tam politiniam segmentui didel\u0119 \u012ftak\u0105 daro prof. Vytautas Landsbergis. Jis nusprend\u017eia, kas yra tikras nacionalistas, o kas \u2013 konservatorius. Visi kiti gali b\u016bti tik apsi\u0161auk\u0117liai. Da\u017enai jis savo po\u017ei\u016br\u012f i\u0161d\u0117sto trumpomis replikomis, es\u0105 \u201ear jus ka\u017ekas taip pamok\u0117\u201c, \u201ear j\u016bs \u010dia patys sugalvojot\u201c. To u\u017etenka. Ir kol jis bus aktyviame politikos lauke, tol stiprios euroskepti\u0161kos j\u0117gos Lietuvoje nebus. Nors j\u0173 yra visur aplink mus. Man taip atrodo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kitas euroskepsio \u0161altinis yra rusi\u0161kai kalbantys Lietuvos gyventojai. I\u0161 aukl\u0117jimo, tam tikros tradicijos, kurioje viskas, kas susij\u0119 su Rusija, yra gerai, o Vakaruose \u2013 su NATO bloku, ES \u2013 atrodo nepriimtina. Ta\u010diau toji dalis yra palyginti nedidel\u0117. Daug, ypa\u010d rusi\u0161kai kalban\u010dios bendruomen\u0117s jaunesniojo am\u017eiaus \u017emoni\u0173 s\u0117kmingai integravosi, patyr\u0117 naryst\u0117s vakarieti\u0161kose organizacijose privalum\u0173.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Euroskeptikai gali b\u016bti dar tie, kuriems ka\u017ekod\u0117l labai patiko \u201eBrexit\u02bcas\u201c (Jungtin\u0117s Karalyst\u0117s i\u0161stojimo i\u0161 ES procesas \u2013 R. S.).<\/em> Ta\u010diau tai gal\u0117t\u0173 b\u016bti labiau b\u016bdinga didesn\u0117ms \u0161alims, turin\u010dioms stipri\u0105 ekonomik\u0105 \u2013 es\u0105 mums nereikia ka\u017ekieno nurodym\u0173 i\u0161 \u0161alies, kaip mes tur\u0117tume gyventi ir tvarkyti savo reikalus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160\u012fmet \u012fvykusi\u0173 \u016bkinink\u0173 protesto akcij\u0173 metu buvo rei\u0161kiamos pretenzijos d\u0117l ES politikos \u2013 ar \u0161iuo kampu eroskepsio potencialo n\u0117ra?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Teori\u0161kai \u2013 taip. Ta\u010diau \u0161iuo metu nuotaikas formuoja kiti dalykai. M\u0117ginau galvoti, kod\u0117l \u0161iuo metu Lietuva yra viena pirmaujan\u010di\u0173 tarp turin\u010di\u0173 noro b\u016bti ES, kokie argumentai \u0161itai l\u0117m\u0117. M\u016bs\u0173 daryti tyrimai rod\u0117, kad nieku gyvu ne kokios nors i\u0161mokos. Esmin\u0117s \u012fvardijamos buvo trys laisv\u0117s. Pirmoji \u2013 jud\u0117jimo arba laisv\u0117 dirbti u\u017esienyje (pirmiausia ES ir Europos ekonomin\u0117s bendrijos \u0161alyse). Motyvas: \u201eJeigu prarasi darb\u0105 \u010dia, visada gali va\u017eiuoti ir pritaikyti save ten.\u201c Dabartinis jaunimas i\u0161 region\u0173, b\u016bna taip, kad neturi draug\u0173 Vilniuje, nes diduma yra i\u0161vyk\u0119.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Antra \u2013 svarbu yra galimyb\u0117 i\u0161vykti mokytis \u012f ES. Ir prakti\u0161kai nemokamai. Tokios laisv\u0117s poj\u016btis yra svarbus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ir tre\u010dia \u2013 elementari galimyb\u0117 s\u0117sti \u012f pig\u0173, sen\u0105 automobil\u012f u\u017e pus\u0119 t\u016bkstan\u010dio eur\u0173 ir va\u017eiuoti iki pat Portugalijos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160ios galimyb\u0117s etnokult\u016bri\u0161kai lietuviams nebuvo labai b\u016bdingos. B\u016bti savo laim\u0117s kalviu \u2013 tai labiau protestanti\u0161k\u0173 visuomeni\u0173, kuriose \u012f laim\u0117s stingant\u012f \u017emog\u0173 \u017ei\u016brima kaip \u012f neveikl\u0173, tinginiaujant\u012f, bruo\u017eas. Prisimenant keli\u0173 de\u0161imtme\u010di\u0173 senumo vertybinius tyrimus, kuriuose lietuviai buvo paskutin\u0117se vietose, dabar kyla klausimas \u2013 kas atsitiko? Jungtini\u0173 Taut\u0173 Laim\u0117s indekse i\u0161 140 \u0161ali\u0173 esame prad\u017eioje, o jaunimas \u2013 i\u0161vis pirmoje vietoje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Man neseniai d\u0117l to skambino vienas \u017eurnalistas i\u0161 Izraelio, kuris dom\u0117josi \u0161iuo fenomenu, nes Lietuvoje kaip ir n\u0117ra speciali\u0173 jaun\u0173 \u017emoni\u0173 palaikymo, paramos program\u0173, o visi laimingi. Ko gero, did\u017eiausi\u0105 \u012ftak\u0105 turi tai, kad i\u0161 tikr\u0173j\u0173 atsirado nauj\u0173 galimybi\u0173, laisvi\u0173, kurios padeda \u017emogui susikurti savo ateit\u012f pa\u010diam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vyrenioji karta tame pa\u010diame tyrime u\u017eima viet\u0105 penktajame de\u0161imtuke. Jie nemoka u\u017esienio kalb\u0173, jiems svetimos naujos technologijos, n\u0117ra prasm\u0117s va\u017eiuoti dirbti \u012f u\u017esien\u012f. Ta\u010diau vyrauja po\u017ei\u016bris, kad jaunimas naudojasi galimyb\u0117mis, kurios dabar vyresni\u0173 \u017emoni\u0173 jaunyst\u0117je buvo nepasiekiamos, ir tai yra gerai. Tam tikras l\u016bkes\u010di\u0173 i\u0161sipildymas. Prie\u0161 kelis de\u0161imtme\u010dius daryti tyrimai rod\u0117 tok\u012f po\u017ei\u016br\u012f, es\u0105 \u201emes i\u0161 to (poky\u010di\u0173, naryst\u0117s ES) naudos gal ir netur\u0117sime, bet u\u017etai m\u016bs\u0173 vaikai \u2013 tikrai patirs\u201c. Ir tie \u017emon\u0117s buvo nusiteik\u0119 balsuoti u\u017e poky\u010dius. Taip prakti\u0161kai ir buvo. Svarbu ir tai, kad d\u0117l t\u0173 l\u016bkes\u010di\u0173 nebuvo apsigauta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ir net \u016bkinink\u0173 keliamos protesto bangos neatsveria t\u0173 privalum\u0173, kurie kitiems nekelia abejoni\u0173. \u017dem\u0117s \u016bkio sektoriaus atstov\u0173 nuotaikos nelebai koreguoja bendr\u0105j\u012f nuotaik\u0173 fon\u0105.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Trumpas laikotarpis, kada Lietuvos naryst\u0117s prie\u0161inink\u0173 buvo daugiau nei \u0161alinink\u0173. Iliustracija i\u0161 V. Gaid\u017eio straipsnio \u201eLietuva ES: vie\u0161osios nuomon\u0117s 1997\u20132007 m. tyrim\u0173 duomenys\u201c \u017eurnale \u201ePolitologija\u201c (2007\/4)
<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u0160iuo metu randasi nema\u017eai analitini\u0173 pasteb\u0117jim\u0173, kad ES yra toks keistas tvarinys, kuriame viskas juda labai l\u0117tai, sprendimai subr\u0119sta tik po ilg\u0173 diskusij\u0173, pasiekus daugyb\u0119 kompromis\u0173. Tuo pat metu s\u0105lygin\u0117se ir tikrose diktat\u016brose viskas vyksta greitai, staigiai. Ar tai nema\u017eina ES patrauklumo?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u017dinoma. Ta\u010diau gr\u012f\u017e\u010diau prie vieno aspekto. Mes neturime didelio pasitik\u0117jimo m\u016bs\u0173 vald\u017eia, kuri teori\u0161kai gal\u0117t\u0173 priimti greitus sprendimus. Gal\u0117tume pa\u017ei\u016br\u0117ti kit\u0105 rodikl\u012f, kuris matuojamas kiekvien\u0105 m\u0117nes\u012f \u2013 kaip vertinamos ekonomin\u0117s \u0161eimos perspektyvos per artimiausius metus. Valstyb\u0117s duomen\u0173 agent\u016bra yra paskelbusi, kad \u0161\u012f baland\u012f Lietuva \u2013 v\u0117l pirmauja, tiki perspektyva. O tuo pat metu vyrauja visi\u0161kas nepasitik\u0117jimas politin\u0117mis institucijomis \u2013 Vyriausybe, Seimu. Kitaip tariant, tikimasi, kad mano \u0161eima po met\u0173 gyvens labai neblogai nepaisant, k\u0105 per tuos metus nuveiks, tarkime, Vyriausyb\u0117.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Taigi ir poreikio Viktoro Orbano (Vengrijos premjero) tipa\u017eui politikoje nelabai ir yra. Kita vertus, gal ir toki\u0173 politik\u0173 nelabai turime. Arba j\u0173 dar nematome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Teko gird\u0117ti politolog\u0173, sakan\u010di\u0173, es\u0105 lietuviai itin teigiamai vertina Ukrainos naryst\u0119 ES i\u0161 esm\u0117s ne\u012fsivaizduodami tokio sprendimo pasekmi\u0173. Kad grei\u010diausiai tada i\u0161 ES paramos recipient\u0117s Lietuva taps gal net donore. \u017dem\u0117s \u016bkio sektorius nesugeb\u0117s konkuruoti su ukrainieti\u0161ka produkcija. Ar \u0161iuo klausimu galime tik\u0117tis koki\u0173 nors poky\u010di\u0173 ir euroskepsio pakilimo?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neseniai telefonu kalb\u0117jausi su kolegomis i\u0161 Latvijos. Jie atrod\u0117 susir\u016bpin\u0119 d\u0117l ukrainie\u010di\u0173 imigracijos. Ko gero, pana\u0161i\u0173 nuotaik\u0173 yra ir Estijoje. Mums pirmoje vietoje vyrauja ka\u017ekokia emocija apie Lietuvos Did\u017ei\u0105j\u0105 Kunigaik\u0161tyst\u0119 (LDK), kuri ribojosi su Juod\u0105ja j\u016bra. Ka\u017ekaip \u0161itai matosi daug labiau. Tarsi buvusios didyb\u0117s atsigavimas. Galima \u012ftarti, kad \u017eem\u0117s \u016bkio sektoriuje veikiantys \u017emon\u0117s pas mus tos perspektyvos niuansus puikiai supranta. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0160iuo atveju gal svarbesnis yra poj\u016btis, kad Vilniuje daug labiau girdima rus\u0173 kalba, nuo ko po Nepriklausomyb\u0117s atgavimo atpratome. Ta\u010diau \u0161is pasteb\u0117jimas bent jau kol kas nei\u0161sivyst\u0117 \u012f kokias nors nuotaikas. Tie patys m\u016bs\u0173 nacionalistai nereikalauja i\u0161varyti ukrainie\u010dius i\u0161 Lietuvos. Ana \u2013 LDK \u2013 emocija yra svarbesn\u0117. Pana\u0161ios estai ir latviai neturi. Man atrodo, kad \u0161iuo atveju toji emocija yra daug svarbesn\u0117 u\u017e logik\u0105.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Papra\u0161ysiu J\u016bs\u0173 paspekuliuoti: ar kokia nors m\u016bs\u0173 euroskepti\u0161ka politin\u0117 j\u0117ga per rinkimus gali gauti tiek bals\u0173, kad EP tur\u0117t\u0173 savo atstov\u0173?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pamin\u0117\u010diau Nacionalin\u012f susivienijim\u0105. Nors nesaky\u010diau, kad jie turi galimybi\u0173 pasiekti tok\u012f laim\u0117jim\u0105. Kas kita \u2013 Lietuvos valstie\u010di\u0173 ir \u017eali\u0173j\u0173 s\u0105junga. Jie savo atstov\u0173 gali tur\u0117ti. Juo labiau jie skelbia kritik\u0105 ES \u017eam\u0117s \u016bkio politikai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

\u0160is darbas parengtas Bendra.lt \u012fgyvendinant Europos S\u0105jungos PERSPECTIVES<\/a> projekt\u0105. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Darbas i\u0161 dalies finansuojamas Europos S\u0105jungos. I\u0161sakyti po\u017ei\u016briai ir nuomon\u0117s yra tik autoriaus (-i\u0173) ir neb\u016btinai atspindi Europos S\u0105jungos ar Europos Komisijos po\u017ei\u016br\u012f ir pozicij\u0105. Nei Europos S\u0105junga, nei pagalb\u0105 teikianti institucija negali b\u016bti laikomos atsakingomis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sociologas, visuomen\u0117s nuomon\u0117s ir rinkos tyrim\u0173 centro vadovas Vladas Gaidys sako ne\u012f\u017evelgi\u0105s dideli\u0173 galimybi\u0173 \u0161. m. gegu\u017e\u0117s 9 d. \u012fvyksian\u010diuose rinkimuose \u012f Europos Parlament\u0105 (EP) Lietuvoje pasiekti laim\u0117jim\u0173 euroskepti\u0161kas programas skelbian\u010dioms politin\u0117ms j\u0117goms, kaip prognozuojama kitose Europos S\u0105jungos (ES) \u0161alyse.<\/p>\n

R. Staselio tekstas<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":22082,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[58],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized-lt"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSociologo hipotez\u0117: euroskepti\u0161k\u0173 politini\u0173 j\u0117g\u0173 galimyb\u0117s politiniame lauke - Media4Change<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.media4change.co\/lt\/sociologo-hipoteze-euroskeptisku-politiniu-jegu-galimybes-politiniame-lauke\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"lt_LT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sociologo hipotez\u0117: euroskepti\u0161k\u0173 politini\u0173 j\u0117g\u0173 galimyb\u0117s politiniame lauke - Media4Change\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Sociologas, visuomen\u0117s nuomon\u0117s ir rinkos tyrim\u0173 centro vadovas Vladas Gaidys sako ne\u012f\u017evelgi\u0105s dideli\u0173 galimybi\u0173 \u0161. m. gegu\u017e\u0117s 9 d. \u012fvyksian\u010diuose rinkimuose \u012f Europos Parlament\u0105 (EP) Lietuvoje pasiekti laim\u0117jim\u0173 euroskepti\u0161kas programas skelbian\u010dioms politin\u0117ms j\u0117goms, kaip prognozuojama kitose Europos S\u0105jungos (ES) \u0161alyse. 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